Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2658.890859 2876.946119 3097.903754 3338.258116 3592.029179 3851.692384 4137.154181
2025-01-19 2219.307648 2535.228917 2867.730158 3242.578299 3652.207122 4085.074590 4575.885381
2025-01-26 2060.234136 2446.440871 2863.928602 3346.322462 3885.856365 4468.276234 5142.034459
2025-02-02 1922.295372 2359.301498 2842.492582 3412.343907 4061.906898 4775.242476 5613.708715
2025-02-09 1771.274576 2241.750582 2772.891943 3411.042989 4150.937060 4975.911447 5959.225654
2025-02-16 1629.663025 2123.316498 2691.616655 3386.259003 4204.271130 5128.960401 6244.981358
2025-02-23 1540.565715 2059.902190 2668.195264 3422.987464 4323.861915 5354.265518 6611.128838
2025-03-02 1440.707473 1976.507034 2614.859935 3418.634573 4390.482206 5514.620112 6899.665767
2025-03-09 1378.414089 1935.117038 2608.511842 3467.423479 4517.754311 5744.551418 7269.201477
2025-03-16 1284.981930 1849.023812 2542.400485 3438.905696 4548.235087 5857.068158 7498.200927
2025-03-23 1246.274804 1830.453918 2558.217372 3509.698349 4698.381150 6112.260281 7897.764484
2025-03-30 1186.882692 1781.533260 2532.826272 3526.547908 4780.395060 6284.304837 8197.401942
2025-04-06 1123.007212 1724.685022 2496.119372 3528.847284 4845.294658 6437.836362 8478.745259
2025-04-13 1021.287653 1611.971554 2382.648585 3429.067501 4778.936036 6428.116566 8559.680005
2025-04-20 1009.810814 1622.200351 2430.179284 3537.141359 4975.849287 6744.462205 9042.533858
2025-04-27 984.217453 1611.144436 2448.192747 3605.899150 5122.430561 6998.772643 9450.283583
2025-05-04 934.325349 1563.200201 2414.421421 3604.544452 5177.506308 7137.882812 9715.080538
2025-05-11 879.024707 1504.770841 2363.950097 3578.734841 5199.073353 7233.564064 9925.067409
2025-05-18 849.412329 1482.356518 2361.860441 3616.982504 5303.802432 7434.697300 10268.223376
2025-05-25 807.311651 1439.390733 2329.370655 3612.449794 5351.085584 7561.987182 10518.224789
2025-06-01 785.579965 1426.006720 2337.718878 3663.250674 5471.597041 7783.597437 10888.994230
2025-06-08 739.928687 1373.923379 2289.037754 3633.557798 5483.231715 7863.862473 11079.198593
2025-06-15 728.207335 1373.823775 2314.741516 3707.262734 5634.051812 8125.275835 11502.734533